The aim of this project is to identify challenges of the market for long-term care and to offer applicable policy options. An in-depth analysis on the current structure of the long-term care market (magnitude, number of employees, organising institutions) and a projection of its development until 2030 forms the basis of the project work.
An extensive database is created and integrated in the existing GWS-module for long-term care (see An der Heiden et al. 2012, Stöver et al. 2015). The projection of the long-term care is provided by the macro-econometric model INFORGE. Sensitivity calculations are applied for the evaluation of the results and the identification of sensitive areas. Scenario analyses helps to assess the economic impact of different policy options.