Analytical work in the global developments field is carried out using multi-regional input-output calculations and econometric methods. Global ex ante simulation studies generally make use of the GINFORS simulation model, which was developed by GWS and permits analysis of global economic structural change broken down to a high level of detail by country and goods category.
The effects of global economic structural change on transport flows can be traced for land, air and water-borne transport.
Analysis of long-term changes in employment in individual countries provides insights into the global distribution of labour shortages and excesses.
In addition, national accounts on a global scale broken down by individual country provide extensive information for comparative analysis of income changes. The global coverage also permits modelling of the effects of trends in multinational economic growth on global use of natural resources and global emissions.
The additional environmental economy modules permit holistic analysis of economic and social transformation towards sustainable development and social welfare as a result of bundling alternative green/sustainable growth policy instruments.
Projects
- Meeting the Paris Agreement and Supporting Sustainability - quantifying synergies and trade-offs
- Modelle, Potenziale und Langfristszenarien für Ressourceneffizienz (SimRess)
- Policy Options for a Resource-Efficient Economy (POLFREE)
- Tool Supported Development for Regional Adaptation (ToPDAd)
- Choosing Efficient Combinations of Policy Instruments for Low-carbon development (CECILIA 2050)
- Cornerstones of a sustainable welfare model as a basis for environmental policy descision makers
- Future Internet Private Public Partnership
Publications
- Eckpunkte eines ökologisch tragfähigen Wohlfahrtskonzepts.
- Macroeconomic Modelling of the Global Economy-Energy-Environment Nexus - an Overview of Recent Advancements of the Dynamic Simulation Model GINFORS.
- Grundstrukturen eines nachhaltigen Wohlfahrtsmodells und Implikationen für die Politik.
- Synopsis of Approaches to Welfare and of Green Growth Concepts Currently under Discussion.
- Macroeconomic routes to 2050.
- Assessment of environmental impacts under alternative adaptation measures.
- Integration of top-down and bottom-up analyses of adaptation to climate change in Europe - the cases of energy, transport and health.
- Die Modellierung der Großen Transformation.
- Imperfect Markets and the Properties of Macro-economic-environmental Models as Tools for Policy Evaluation.
- Quantitative Assessment of Pathways to a Resource-Efficient and Low-Carbon Europe.
- Macroeconomic Modelling of Sustainable Development and the Links between the Economy and the Environment.
- Doch noch nicht weniger und älter – die Folgen der Zuwanderung für Arbeitsmarkt, Bauinvestitionen, Bildungsbranchen und Gesundheitswesen in Deutschland.
- Imperfect Markets and the Properties of Macro-economic-environmental Models as Tools for Policy Evaluation.
- Pathways to a Resource-Efficient and Low-Carbon Europe.
- Simulation von Ressourcenschonungspolitik mit GINFORS im SimRess-Projekt: Systemgrenzen, Modellinteraktion, Indikatoren und Baseline-Ergebnisse.
- Structures of a welfare-oriented sustainable impact assessment model and practical implementation experiences.
- On the Road to a Resource Efficient Europe: Recent Findings from POLFREE Research.
- Foresight and scenarios: modelling practices and resource nexus assessment.
- Analysis of the global meetPASS Mitigation Scenario.
- Evaluation von Klimaschutzmaßnahmen mit dem Modell e3.at.
- Evaluation von Klimaschutzmaßnahmen mit dem Modell e3.at.
- Selection of suitable SDG indicators for the evaluation of climate mitigation scenarios.
- Development of the meetPASS Mitigation Scenario.
