Projecttitle:
Energy scenarios for the German energy concept
Project description:

Within this project conducted for the German Federal Ministry of Economics and Technology, the institutes Prognos, Basel, ewi, Cologne (Energiewirtschaftliches Institut an der Universität zu Köln) and GWS have developed energy scenarios for the future energy concept of the Federal Government with a time line until the year 2050. In total, eight scenarios were calculated with a variation in the prolongation of the operating time of existing nuclear power stations in Germany for 4, 12, 20 or 28 years and with different approaches regarding the cost of backfitting.

The target scenarios indicate the preconditions and terms under which a long-term shift of the energy market towards a regenerative energy supply is possible. The GWS model PANTA RHEI was employed to determine the macroeconomic effects of different scenarios against a reference setting.

Publications

Schlesinger, M., Lindenberger, D., Lutz, C., Hofer, P., Kirchner, A., Piégsa, A., Straßburg, S., Fürsch, M., Malischek, R., Panke, T., Trüby, J., Khoroshun, O. & Lehr, U. (2011): Energieszenarien 2011. [zitiert als Prognos, EWI & GWS (2011)] Studie im Auftrag des BMWi, Basel, Köln, Osnabrück.
Schlesinger, M., Lindenberger, D., Lutz, C., Hofer, P., Kemmler, A., Kirchner, A., Straßburg, S., Fürsch, M., Paulus, M., Richter, J., Trüby, J., Khoroshun, O., Lehr, U. & Thobe, I. (2010): Energieszenarien für ein Energiekonzept der Bundesregierung. [zitiert als Prognos, EWI & GWS (2010)] Studie im Auftrag des BMWi, Basel, Köln, Osnabrück.
Lindenberger, D., Lutz, C. & Schlesinger, M. (2010): Szenarien für ein Energiekonzept der Bundesregierung. Energiewirtschaftliche Tagesfragen, 60(11), S. 32-35.
Chart:
Duration:
2010
‐ 2011
Contracting entity:
BMWi, BMU
Cooperation partner:
Prognos AG; EWI
Contact:
Christian Lutz
Project team members:
Ulrike Lehr
Ines Thobe
Models
PANTA RHEI
Alias:
energiekonzept