INFORUM World Conference 2018

The 26th INFORUM World Conference was held in Łódź, Poland, from August 27 through August 31, 2018. It was hosted by Prof. Michal Przybyliński and his team, the Faculty of Economics and Sociology of the University of Łódź. 

Researchers and economists of the INFORUM group from Chile, China, Denmark, Germany, Italy, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Turkey and the USA met in the “heart of Poland” to present and discuss their latest research results regarding input-output-based macroeconomic and interindustry modeling. 

The topics discussed not only dealt with different modeling approaches, bt also contained country-specific information, e.g. with respect to general economic structures of the respective countries and differences in data availability and how to cope with them. Amongst others, different approaches for consumption modeling as well as modeling concepts for changes in human capital, labor migration and regional analyses were presented. Further topics were concerned with policy studies and scenario analyses on environmental issues and climate change. 
In hands-on sessions, Douglas Meade, head of INFORUM USA, presented the free INFORUM model building software “Cooking with Interdyme”, which is based on both, early designs of the Interdyme software generated by the founder of the INFORUM Group, Prof. erem. Clopper Almon from the University of Maryland as well as the PortableDyme software developed on behalf of GWS by Anett Großmann, Frank Hohmann and Kirsten Wiebe.

Following good tradition, the hosts also organized a social programme including a guided walk around Łódź followed by a dinner at Manufaktura, a major tourist asset of the third biggest city of Poland. The day excursion comprised a guided tour around Łódź in an historic tram, followed by a visit of the Museum of History of the City of Łódź in the Poznanski Palace and the Museum of the Factory in Manufaktura.

The 26th conference offered an excellent opportunity to discuss applications of INFORUM models and exchange new ideas. Special thanks go to the Polish team around Prof. Michal Przybyliński for a perfect organization and to all participants who contributed to valuable insights and fruitful discussions.

Next year, the 27th INFORUM World Conference will be held in Sochi, Russia. Prof. Alexander Shirov and his team from the Institute of Economic Forecasting at the Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow are looking forward to welcoming INFORUM members as well as macroeconomic researchers who are not yet part of the group in Sochi at the Black Sea at the end of August/ beginning of September 2019.

Presentations held at the conference (in alphabetical order of the authors)

Lara Ahmann, Ulrike Lehr, Markus Flaute, Anne Nieters


Modelling Adaptation to Gradual Climate Change Effects in Forestry

Patricio Aroca


Regional Impact of the Chilean Mining Exploitation

Aleksandr Baranov, Victor Pavlov & Iuliia Slepenkova


Forecasting of Human Capital Reproduction in Russia Using Dynamic Input-Output Model

Rossella Bardazzi


Modelling Household Consumption

Jakub Boratyński


Bayesian Estimation of a Consumption System

Jakub Boratyński, Emilia Fraszka-Sobczyk, Michał Przybyliński, Iwona Świeczewska & Joanna Trębska


Developments of the Polish Inforum Model based on WIOD

Ekaterina Edinak, Ivan Korolev & Andrey Korovkin


Study of Labour Migration: the Balance Method

Markus Flaute, Lara Ahmann, Ulrike Lehr, Anne Nieters


Macroeconomic Effects of Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change Adaptation in Germany

Maurizio Grassini


About Modelling Mark-Up

Henryk Gurgul & Łukasz Lach


Sectoral Linkages in Global Production Structure: the Role of Polish Economy in Transition

Ronald Horst


Public Infrastructure: Economic Data and Modeling

Andrey Kolpakov


Electric Vehicles: Impact on the World Economy and Energy Sector

Shangtong Li, Jianwu He, Hongmei Zhang, I. We


Regional Divergence in China – from the Perspective of Global Value Chain

Douglas Meade


Cooking With Interdyme: Labor Productivity

David Mullins, David Mosaka & Phindile Nkosi


Assessing the Economic Contribution of Labour Migration in South Africa

Gazi Ozhan


Measuring Rate of Protection in Turkish Economy using IO Technic

Renato Paniccia


A Double SUT Approach for Modelling Economic and Energy Flows

Mariusz Plich


Inclusion of a New Economic Activity into a Multisectoral Model: Nuclear Power in Poland

Ksenia Savchishina


The Institute Accounts: Applying in Russian Interindustry Model

Alexander Shirov


Macroeconomic Effects of Defense Spending in Russia: Retrospective Analysis and Forecast

Jurand Skrypek


Modeling of Sectoral Investment for Poland

Iuliia Slepenkova


The Influence of a Human Capital on the Russian Economy Development

Katarzyna Walerysiak-Grzechowska


Consumption Patterns of Polish Households – Cross-Sectional Analysis

Marc Ingo Wolter


Modelling Consumption of Private Households in INFORGE

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